jingi1234
12-13 07:41 PM
garanchai2go: did you get your passport yet?
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gcdreamer05
08-12 12:15 PM
hmmm so how long before we get our chance, mera number kab aaayegaa :rolleyes:
abe
11-04 06:05 PM
Got an email on Sunday, Nov 1, saying that I got greened last Wednesday, Oct 28. I have been calling customer service about once a week since Sept. Thanks guys. Without IV, I wouldn't have called.
2011 Love Poems
Harivinder
06-03 03:29 PM
I called all the reps listed and Rep. Issa, Darrell [R], District 49, phone: 202-225-3906 because i live in his congressional district.
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smisachu
07-31 05:00 PM
smisachu,
here is what i have figured out in last 4 year and i have been to various blogs.
1. i have read various blogs all are saying trading options with all good stuff you can hardly make any money. Most of the term you have used i have some idea what its is , but havent studied it properly.
There is no silver bullet that will make money all the time. If some one says so he is lying. Options can give you a chance to minimize risk but also cap profits. And you can be wiped out in options routinely. However in stocks it is a rare event when your stock goes to zero.
2. trading is gambling- you can have some edge by stastical analysis what have performed well over a long time. so backtest u r system over 10 years.
Trading is most certainly gambling, even fixed income. You can build a model and hedge to reduce risk and make it a calculated gamble but still a gamble..
3. would like to know what kind returns are you targeting with options
Most professional option traders generate income by writing options. Writing options are very risky as you have a theoretical loss probability reaching infinity. Forming synthetic positions will minimize risk but you might bleed hedging the position. A seller of option is long theta and short delta; a buyer of options is short theta and long delta. Think of theta as the time factor and delta as the hedge factor to put simply. If you sell a call option you have to hedge the option by buying delta units of the underlying stock. And when the call is at the money or near you will end up buying the stock high and selling the stock low, thus loosing money. Black and Scholes famously showed that in an option trade you can delta hedge the risk away. This is not possible and their model is flawed. But it is simple and intuitive and every one serious in trading options NEEDS to learn the model. You don�t have to know the derivation but just the model, and the partial differential equation. I can talk about the flaw and the smile and smile dynamics but many of these concepts need to be drawn out and very hard to explain with out drawing.
4. spreads can be an way to go ..but has to be directional bet or else difficult. I have seen lot of iron condor guys breaking down in recent melt down and up.
Any model will work only for certain duration. That is why you need to keep running it and that is why quants have jobs. In stat arb sometimes you run models 3 times or more a day. I mean complicated mathematical models getting data from a provider and running large data sets to find the mean. And then trade when the stock diverges from the mean.
Each strategy or model has shelf life, so you need to keep researching and running new models.
Spreads are a good way of limiting down side while also capping upside. Volatility spreads are the most profitable ones and again short straddle makes money almost 95% of times but the 5% when they loose they will loose big. You need to have a certain limiting conditions and then hedge the spread with in this range. Usually you will make a little or loose a little. Sometimes you will hit a home run. It is easy to show this on a graph
5. so i kind of believe in hit and run and momentum play - what else can make you money where nothing is certain
I don�t trade momentum, swing or technical indicators. But there are profitable traders who do this.
6. buying when rsi2 is depressed and selling quickly - can be spread havent back tested it.
i backtest using stockfetcher. but u cant backtest options, you have to manually do it. itried some using think or swim platform.
Relative strength Index, McClellan RSI(2) and Oscillators can be an indicator of stock movement. Relating it to the option market is abstract but I think possible. But I feel the options will already be priced in for such potential movements in the underlying. A very good quant I know always says any new strategy will first manifest itself in the derivatives market before equity as the players there are much more sophisticated.
I am not sure which retail trading platform has good back testing, try options first with scottrade. I use Bloomberg which has loads of functions like OVME-GO where you can back test , simulate and see the volatility surface.
so i am trying to see if anybody else has any good strategy to share.
There are many good strategies but I have no idea on sophistication of each individual. For example right now you can sell credit default swaps on Goldman sachs medium senior secured notes and hedge it with delta units of binary in-the-money call options on the VIX. This will give you synthetic exposure to the notes with steady cash flow and the binaries are cheap. If goldman defaults the VIX will sky rocket giving you a handsome payout better than what you will have to pay on the senior secured notes because of high recovery rate if all the default climbs up to the senior tranche. Actually this would be equal to the end of the world in today�s market.
Or better yet just buy SPX and sit, the market is doing all the work for you.
The US natural gas market is in contango (I swear this is not jargon:o, there is no other term). So buy long dated/leap calls at the money now. In 2 years you will be so deep in the money you wont know what to do. But average retail investor cannot hedge this as he cannot trade spot.
So I guess my point is there are sophisticated ways to make money for which the average retail investor has no access to. If there is a simple way then it has already been exploited under the no-arbitrage clause of free markets.
If you have 2-5 year horizon. Go long the market and sit on it would be my best advice. If people want to meet and share ideas I am open to it. I live in NJ so NY/NJ is fine spot to meet.
here is what i have figured out in last 4 year and i have been to various blogs.
1. i have read various blogs all are saying trading options with all good stuff you can hardly make any money. Most of the term you have used i have some idea what its is , but havent studied it properly.
There is no silver bullet that will make money all the time. If some one says so he is lying. Options can give you a chance to minimize risk but also cap profits. And you can be wiped out in options routinely. However in stocks it is a rare event when your stock goes to zero.
2. trading is gambling- you can have some edge by stastical analysis what have performed well over a long time. so backtest u r system over 10 years.
Trading is most certainly gambling, even fixed income. You can build a model and hedge to reduce risk and make it a calculated gamble but still a gamble..
3. would like to know what kind returns are you targeting with options
Most professional option traders generate income by writing options. Writing options are very risky as you have a theoretical loss probability reaching infinity. Forming synthetic positions will minimize risk but you might bleed hedging the position. A seller of option is long theta and short delta; a buyer of options is short theta and long delta. Think of theta as the time factor and delta as the hedge factor to put simply. If you sell a call option you have to hedge the option by buying delta units of the underlying stock. And when the call is at the money or near you will end up buying the stock high and selling the stock low, thus loosing money. Black and Scholes famously showed that in an option trade you can delta hedge the risk away. This is not possible and their model is flawed. But it is simple and intuitive and every one serious in trading options NEEDS to learn the model. You don�t have to know the derivation but just the model, and the partial differential equation. I can talk about the flaw and the smile and smile dynamics but many of these concepts need to be drawn out and very hard to explain with out drawing.
4. spreads can be an way to go ..but has to be directional bet or else difficult. I have seen lot of iron condor guys breaking down in recent melt down and up.
Any model will work only for certain duration. That is why you need to keep running it and that is why quants have jobs. In stat arb sometimes you run models 3 times or more a day. I mean complicated mathematical models getting data from a provider and running large data sets to find the mean. And then trade when the stock diverges from the mean.
Each strategy or model has shelf life, so you need to keep researching and running new models.
Spreads are a good way of limiting down side while also capping upside. Volatility spreads are the most profitable ones and again short straddle makes money almost 95% of times but the 5% when they loose they will loose big. You need to have a certain limiting conditions and then hedge the spread with in this range. Usually you will make a little or loose a little. Sometimes you will hit a home run. It is easy to show this on a graph
5. so i kind of believe in hit and run and momentum play - what else can make you money where nothing is certain
I don�t trade momentum, swing or technical indicators. But there are profitable traders who do this.
6. buying when rsi2 is depressed and selling quickly - can be spread havent back tested it.
i backtest using stockfetcher. but u cant backtest options, you have to manually do it. itried some using think or swim platform.
Relative strength Index, McClellan RSI(2) and Oscillators can be an indicator of stock movement. Relating it to the option market is abstract but I think possible. But I feel the options will already be priced in for such potential movements in the underlying. A very good quant I know always says any new strategy will first manifest itself in the derivatives market before equity as the players there are much more sophisticated.
I am not sure which retail trading platform has good back testing, try options first with scottrade. I use Bloomberg which has loads of functions like OVME-GO where you can back test , simulate and see the volatility surface.
so i am trying to see if anybody else has any good strategy to share.
There are many good strategies but I have no idea on sophistication of each individual. For example right now you can sell credit default swaps on Goldman sachs medium senior secured notes and hedge it with delta units of binary in-the-money call options on the VIX. This will give you synthetic exposure to the notes with steady cash flow and the binaries are cheap. If goldman defaults the VIX will sky rocket giving you a handsome payout better than what you will have to pay on the senior secured notes because of high recovery rate if all the default climbs up to the senior tranche. Actually this would be equal to the end of the world in today�s market.
Or better yet just buy SPX and sit, the market is doing all the work for you.
The US natural gas market is in contango (I swear this is not jargon:o, there is no other term). So buy long dated/leap calls at the money now. In 2 years you will be so deep in the money you wont know what to do. But average retail investor cannot hedge this as he cannot trade spot.
So I guess my point is there are sophisticated ways to make money for which the average retail investor has no access to. If there is a simple way then it has already been exploited under the no-arbitrage clause of free markets.
If you have 2-5 year horizon. Go long the market and sit on it would be my best advice. If people want to meet and share ideas I am open to it. I live in NJ so NY/NJ is fine spot to meet.
chicago60607
09-17 01:20 PM
I hope Mr.King eats something which upsets his stomach and is in the restroom for the next 2-3 hours :D
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desi485
11-09 11:25 PM
Thanks for the additional information. In case 1 - can the applicant still retain the priority date if s/he wants to start a new GC process? In other words, does 6 year expiration have any effect on retaining PD?
From what I have gathered so far, it appears that it's a misconception that a lot of people have who feel it's safer to stay on H1. It doesn't sound like EAD is as bad as I had once initially thought..
As far as I know, one retains the PD for life once I-140 is approved; unless CIS revokes I-140 due to fraud or min-interpretation. Otherwise PD is yours forever, across the category (eb-1, 2 or 3).
From what I have gathered so far, it appears that it's a misconception that a lot of people have who feel it's safer to stay on H1. It doesn't sound like EAD is as bad as I had once initially thought..
As far as I know, one retains the PD for life once I-140 is approved; unless CIS revokes I-140 due to fraud or min-interpretation. Otherwise PD is yours forever, across the category (eb-1, 2 or 3).
2010 Dev Sangeet | Hindi Poetry
nixstor
08-01 04:31 PM
cessusa,
Can you share your experience on your way to babson? Things like your GMAT Score, How long did you prepare, your work experience etc. Is it a lock step program or you can do it at your convenience? I am looking at Ross's Part time. I havent even started but thats some thing on my mind. I am neither in Ann Arbor area or NE area.
Thanks
Can you share your experience on your way to babson? Things like your GMAT Score, How long did you prepare, your work experience etc. Is it a lock step program or you can do it at your convenience? I am looking at Ross's Part time. I havent even started but thats some thing on my mind. I am neither in Ann Arbor area or NE area.
Thanks
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no538
07-11 10:45 PM
story/rumor was that only Texas center was holding off application...is Nebraska doing that too?
My attorney said that he received my I-485 application back from Nebraska service center on the 9th statting that priority date is not current.
My application is I-140 PP(EB3 to EB2 (Nov 2003)PD transfer)+I-485.
I've got the receipt for I-140 and my application was received by USCIS on June 29th.
I think my case is different and they would have got confused with everything going on and just returned the application.
My attorney sent the packet back to USCIS saying that my PD is current in June with the PD Transfer and that they should accept it.
I'll update with whatever happens.
Cheers,
Raghu
My attorney said that he received my I-485 application back from Nebraska service center on the 9th statting that priority date is not current.
My application is I-140 PP(EB3 to EB2 (Nov 2003)PD transfer)+I-485.
I've got the receipt for I-140 and my application was received by USCIS on June 29th.
I think my case is different and they would have got confused with everything going on and just returned the application.
My attorney sent the packet back to USCIS saying that my PD is current in June with the PD Transfer and that they should accept it.
I'll update with whatever happens.
Cheers,
Raghu
hair Nandan Pants hindi Poems,
vishalsaboo
01-01 04:12 AM
I dont know if that's completely true. I had my H1B visa appointment on Dec 28th in Mumbai and am in the PIMS verification status also. The visa officer told me that all NIV applicants around the world have to go through the process and admitted that the process was new.
I talked to 3 other H1 candidates right after I was handed the yellow slip and they all had the same experience with different officers. Although its aggravating, hopefully, we'll all get some relief this week.
Good luck to all of us!
I talked to 3 other H1 candidates right after I was handed the yellow slip and they all had the same experience with different officers. Although its aggravating, hopefully, we'll all get some relief this week.
Good luck to all of us!
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santb1975
06-02 12:07 PM
Please make your calls. This is for everyone. Please take the poll after you called. Thx
Since all the reps are from California, Is this only for California members?
If not, let me know and I will get on the horn as soon as I can (probably not possible today, maybe tomorrow).
Since all the reps are from California, Is this only for California members?
If not, let me know and I will get on the horn as soon as I can (probably not possible today, maybe tomorrow).
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sathyaraj
11-06 01:59 PM
Sen Grassley makes sense to me. It looks like he has thorughly studied the program. If he is really concerned to stop the abuse in H1B program then
a. H1B visa should be decreased
b. EB visas should be doubled
c. Current backlog should be cleared by recapturing visas.
If we are all on the same level playing field, then there will not be a chance of lower wages & the employers will only recruit based on true skills.
In either case, Americans need to be more competitive, rather than just crying that I am replaced by a H1-B. Why would any employer sponsor an H1B visa when he has equally qualified US citizen.
Hope the senator understands both the sides of the same coin, just reforming H1B will not help much. It will result in outsourcing. EB visas should be doubled.
a. H1B visa should be decreased
b. EB visas should be doubled
c. Current backlog should be cleared by recapturing visas.
If we are all on the same level playing field, then there will not be a chance of lower wages & the employers will only recruit based on true skills.
In either case, Americans need to be more competitive, rather than just crying that I am replaced by a H1-B. Why would any employer sponsor an H1B visa when he has equally qualified US citizen.
Hope the senator understands both the sides of the same coin, just reforming H1B will not help much. It will result in outsourcing. EB visas should be doubled.
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p1234
10-02 11:34 PM
Guys,
Please refrain from fighting on EB3 and EB2 issue. We all know how difficult retrogression has been to every one here. As some one has already said, If interfiling was so easy and every one was fortunate enough to file another Labor/140, EB-2 would have been in 2002 or along with EB-3. AFAIK, Interfiling is some thing the law allows and as long as one does what the system allows and is not gaming the system, its perfectly fine. Don't rub salt on others wounds. Do what you can to improve the system. IMO, the backward movement was a knee jerk reaction to the false demand, shown by USCIS with a huge movement in PD. As you may know, this is purely demand and supply based DOS will move dates forward as soon as they realize that there is not much demand. DOS keeps track of all visa number requests and approvals based on PD's. The problem is DOS just does not know how many applications are pending per country per category to stop the back and forth movement of dates and make the date movement strictly forward. DOS clearly made this a requirement in OCT 08 bulletin and lets see what happens in the next few months. 2nd Q will be key as the over flow will start to trickle based on demand in EB-1+EB-4+EB-5
Your point is taken, no more flames after this.
Please refrain from fighting on EB3 and EB2 issue. We all know how difficult retrogression has been to every one here. As some one has already said, If interfiling was so easy and every one was fortunate enough to file another Labor/140, EB-2 would have been in 2002 or along with EB-3. AFAIK, Interfiling is some thing the law allows and as long as one does what the system allows and is not gaming the system, its perfectly fine. Don't rub salt on others wounds. Do what you can to improve the system. IMO, the backward movement was a knee jerk reaction to the false demand, shown by USCIS with a huge movement in PD. As you may know, this is purely demand and supply based DOS will move dates forward as soon as they realize that there is not much demand. DOS keeps track of all visa number requests and approvals based on PD's. The problem is DOS just does not know how many applications are pending per country per category to stop the back and forth movement of dates and make the date movement strictly forward. DOS clearly made this a requirement in OCT 08 bulletin and lets see what happens in the next few months. 2nd Q will be key as the over flow will start to trickle based on demand in EB-1+EB-4+EB-5
Your point is taken, no more flames after this.
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Immi_Chant
01-31 06:53 PM
Hope to see its as the Most Popular Question # 1 and #2 !!!! (though it will be bit over estimate).:)
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petepatel
09-17 11:24 AM
Cannot hear, he is saying something:mad:
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sledge_hammer
01-28 03:34 PM
I don't think AILA is fighting this memo on the grounds that it is illegal because of the fact that E-E relationship is illegally defined by USCIS, but they are fighting on the grounds that it is illegal because such directives should come in the form of laws!
Simply put, they are telling USCIS to follow the laws passed by the Congress without providing their own interpretation. This could very well apply to AC21!
EDIT:
After re-reading AILA's response, it appears to me that they actually don't have a strong case to say that the "EE relationship" definition is illegal. They are going with the argument that a precedence has been set for 50 years, and that is one of the main reasons why USCIS should continue to interpret the EE relationship that way. I'm not sure how strong a case this can be.
AC21 doesn't contradict any law. AC21 memo is a real memo. It provides guidance for areas that are not clearly defined. So no point in comparing AC21 memo against the latest illegal memo by USCIS.
Simply put, they are telling USCIS to follow the laws passed by the Congress without providing their own interpretation. This could very well apply to AC21!
EDIT:
After re-reading AILA's response, it appears to me that they actually don't have a strong case to say that the "EE relationship" definition is illegal. They are going with the argument that a precedence has been set for 50 years, and that is one of the main reasons why USCIS should continue to interpret the EE relationship that way. I'm not sure how strong a case this can be.
AC21 doesn't contradict any law. AC21 memo is a real memo. It provides guidance for areas that are not clearly defined. So no point in comparing AC21 memo against the latest illegal memo by USCIS.
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makeup wallpaper love poems hindi.
fall2004us
11-01 05:03 PM
I am Civil Engineer(Traffic Engineer), get me a very good job in India, I will go back for good.....:D
girlfriend i love you poems in hindi.
gcpain
11-12 04:23 PM
This is perfect time, IV core team members has to concentrate to push this bill in all its possible means. I am sure political climate is in favor of CIR bil in capito hill. Infact most of americans want this to be done to collect lot of taxes.
hairstyles Poem Graphic #15
kate123
06-10 10:15 AM
Called all the representatives for the second time to co sponser the bills.. it took less than 10 min.
-Thank you
-Thank you
Hope_GC
07-15 07:08 PM
pmb76,
I agree with you we are at least not turning blind eye on this kinda false propagandas.
Fight for truth is a difficult thing but when fought with full enthu you will see the results(what ever they might be something positive).
I don't know what this petition is going to do. Atleast it will convey to CNN top brass that there are people out there who won't tolerate such lies. Maybe it won't do anything now but we must continue our efforts and oppose such false propagation of information whenever we can.
I agree with you we are at least not turning blind eye on this kinda false propagandas.
Fight for truth is a difficult thing but when fought with full enthu you will see the results(what ever they might be something positive).
I don't know what this petition is going to do. Atleast it will convey to CNN top brass that there are people out there who won't tolerate such lies. Maybe it won't do anything now but we must continue our efforts and oppose such false propagation of information whenever we can.
chanduv23
12-08 11:11 AM
excellent stuff - everyone must send their stories. Kudos to this thread starter - please keep this thread on top.
Mods - can we hardwire this thread?
Mods - can we hardwire this thread?
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